ISSN 1003-8035 CN 11-2852/P
    栗倩倩,王伟,黄亮,等. 台风暴雨型滑坡滞后效应分析−以浙江青田县 “利奇马”台风为例[J]. 中国地质灾害与防治学报,2022,33(6): 10-19. DOI: 10.16031/j.cnki.issn.1003-8035.202110018
    引用本文: 栗倩倩,王伟,黄亮,等. 台风暴雨型滑坡滞后效应分析−以浙江青田县 “利奇马”台风为例[J]. 中国地质灾害与防治学报,2022,33(6): 10-19. DOI: 10.16031/j.cnki.issn.1003-8035.202110018
    LI Qianqian, WANG Wei, HUANG Liang, et al. Analysis on lag effect of typhoon-induced landslide: A case study of typhoon “Lekima” in Qingtian County, Zhejiang Province[J]. The Chinese Journal of Geological Hazard and Control, 2022, 33(6): 10-19. DOI: 10.16031/j.cnki.issn.1003-8035.202110018
    Citation: LI Qianqian, WANG Wei, HUANG Liang, et al. Analysis on lag effect of typhoon-induced landslide: A case study of typhoon “Lekima” in Qingtian County, Zhejiang Province[J]. The Chinese Journal of Geological Hazard and Control, 2022, 33(6): 10-19. DOI: 10.16031/j.cnki.issn.1003-8035.202110018

    台风暴雨型滑坡滞后效应分析以浙江青田县 “利奇马”台风为例

    Analysis on lag effect of typhoon-induced landslide: A case study of typhoon “Lekima” in Qingtian County, Zhejiang Province

    • 摘要: 我国东南沿海地区台风登陆频繁,伴生暴雨诱发的台风型滑坡造成了严重的经济损失和人员伤亡。已有研究在单峰型、多峰型台风暴雨的斜坡水文响应过程及稳定性分析方面取得了一定成果,但缺乏对台风暴雨型滑坡滞后效应的研究和机理分析。为此,以台风“利奇马”在浙江青田县的登陆为例,基于对台风型滑坡发生数量与降雨量的统计,构建16组不同结构组合的斜坡模型,模拟在台风登陆过程中不同降雨工况条件下斜坡的渗流—稳定性变化。结果表明,台风“利奇马”离陆后青田县内仍有26.4%的滑坡发生,存在一定滞后;不同结构组合斜坡稳定性在离陆后最低,相较于台风登陆前稳定性系数降低了13.82%;在台风登陆暴雨作用下,青田县斜坡稳定性结构影响参数中坡度最为敏感;讨论认为在台风不同登陆阶段的降雨会导致边坡的入渗特征差异,从而形成滞后效应。研究结论对于该区域的台风型滑坡早期识别具有一定指导意义。

       

      Abstract: Typhoon landing is frequent in the southeast coastal areas of China, and the typhoon-induced landslide caused by associated rainstorms has caused serious economic losses and casualties. Some studies have made some achievements in the slope hydrological response process and stability analysis of single-peak and multi-peaks typhoon rainstorms, but research on mechanism analysis on the hysteresis effect of typhoon-induced landslide is lacked. Therefore, taking “Lekima” in Qingtian county, Zhejiang Province as an example, based on the statistics of the number and rainfall of typhoon-type landslides, this paper constructs 16 groups of slope models with different structural combinations to simulate the seepage-stability changes of slopes under different rainfall conditions during the landing of a typhoon. The results show that there are still 26.4% landslides in Qingtian county after typhoon “Lekima” left the land, which is lagging. The stability of slopes with different structural combinations is the lowest after landing, which is 13.82% lower than that before typhoon landing. Under the action of typhoon landing rainstorm, the slope is the most sensitive among the influencing parameters of slope stability structure in Qingtian county. It is considered that rainfall at different landing stages of the typhoon will lead to the difference of infiltration characteristics of the slope, thus forming a hysteresis effect. The conclusion has a certain guiding significance for the early identification of typhoon-induced landslides in this area.

       

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