ISSN 1003-8035 CN 11-2852/P

    基于变权联系云的煤矿断层复杂程度及控水规律研究

    Study on fault complexity and water control mechanisms in coal mines based on variable-weight connection cloud model

    • 摘要: 深埋煤层开采过程中井下突水灾害与断层构造展布规律及发育程度密切相关,然而二者之间的定量关系及内在机理仍是当前矿井水害防治领域亟待解决的科学难题。考虑断层复杂程度评价指标之间的组合关系,采用博弈论、变权理论和云模型相结合的方法,构建了一个含煤地层断层复杂程度定量评估模型。选取了断层密度、断层分维值、断层尖灭点及交点密度和断层强度指数作为断层复杂程度主控因素,得到了各因素的空间分布等值线。模型将研究区内断层复杂程度划分为简单区、较简单区、中等区、较复杂区、复杂区,占比分别为2.3%、20.7%、38.0%、32.5%和6.5%。断层复杂程度(FCI)与岩心采取率(CRR)呈显著负相关(R2=0.7594),验证了模型的准确性。揭示了矿井突(涌)水点位置和突水强度均与断裂构造复杂程度之间呈显著正相关。研究结果可为断裂构造发育区矿井水害防治工作提供理论基础。

       

      Abstract: In the process of deep-buried coal seam mining, underground water inrush disasters are closely related to the distribution patterns and development degree of faults. However, the quantitative relationship and internal mechanisms between them are still scientific problems that urgently need to be solved in the field of mine water disaster prevention and control. Considering the combined relationships among the evaluation indeces of fault complexity, a quantitative evaluation model of fault complexity in coal-bearing strata is constructed by combining game theory, variable weight theory, and the cloud model. Fault density, fault fractal dimension, densities of fault pinch-out points and intersection points, and the fault strength index are selected as the main controlling factors of fault complexity, and contour maps of the spatial distribution of each factor are obtained. The model divides the fault complexity in study area into simple, relatively simple, medium, relatively complex, and complex zones, with respective proportions of 2.3%, 20.7%, 38.0%, 32.5%, and 6.5%. The fault complexity index (FCI) is significantly negatively correlated with the core recovery ratio (CRR) (R2 = 0.7594 ), which verifies the accuracy of the model. The result also reveal that both the locations of mine water inrush points and the intensity of water inrush are significantly positively correlated with the complexity of fault structures. The research results can provide a theoretical basis for mine water disaster prevention and control in areas with well-developed fault structures.

       

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