ISSN 1003-8035 CN 11-2852/P

    北川唐家山大水沟泥石流可起动物源识别及储量估算

    Identification and Volume Estimation of Potential Debris Flow Sources in Dashuigou, Tangjiashan,Beichuan

    • 摘要: 2008年“5•12”汶川地震诱发的四川省北川县唐家山堰塞湖成功泄洪后,现拟于唐家山堰塞体部位修建水库供水工程,坝址位于唐家山滑坡左侧边界的大水沟上游,其建设运营易受大水沟泥石流威胁。通过现场调查、无人机航测、SBAS-InSAR技术对大水沟泥石流开展了可起动物源形变监测及识别、储量估算。结果表明,所识别的12处具有典型变形特征的震裂山体崩滑和坡面物源,分布于原唐家山滑坡后壁侧、大水沟流域中上游及下游两侧斜坡部位,2018年1月~2024年10月期间流域内物源形变速率在−120.28~48.41 mm/年,最大变形物源深度达18 m,出现在原唐家山滑坡后壁侧,总储量38.73×104m3。物源形变位移量与降雨量呈正相关,2018年、2020年和2021年大水沟三次泥石流事件前期物源形变量突增。流域固有陡峻地形、持续变形的震裂山体物源以及强降雨气候有利于形成泥石流灾害,易堵塞沟口通口河道,对拟建坝址构成威胁。研究成果可为该地区泥石流防灾减灾工作提供科技支撑。

       

      Abstract: Following the successful discharge of the Tangjiashan landslide-- dammed lake in Beichuan County, Sichuan Province, triggered by the 2008 Wenchuan Earthquake, a new water supply reservoir is planned at the site. The proposed dam location lies upstream of Dashuigou, on the left flank of the Tangjiashan landslide, where debris flow hazards pose a major threat to reservoir operations. This study employs field investigations, UAV photogrammetry, and SBAS-InSAR technology to identify potential debris flow sources, estimate storage volumes, and monitor deformation in the Dashuigou watershed. The results indicate the identification of 12 sources with distinct deformation characteristics, including earthquake-induced fractured mountain slopes, landslides, and slope debris. These sources are primarily distributed along the back scarp of the original Tangjiashan landslide, on both sides of the middle and upper reaches of the Dashuigou watershed, and along the downstream slopes. From January 2018 to October 2024, deformation rates of these sources in the watershed ranged from −120.28 mm/year to 48.41 mm/year, with maximum deformation depth reaching 18 meters at the back scarp of the Tangjiashan landslide and a total estimated volume of 38.73×104 m3. The displacement of these sources shows a positive correlation with rainfall, with significant increases in deformation observed prior to three major debris flow events in Dashuigou in 2018, 2020, and 2021. The region’s steep topography, ongoing deformation of earthquake-induced fractured mountain sources, and high rainfall contribute to the occurrence of debris flow hazards, which pose a threat to the proposed dam site by potentially obstructing the Tongkou River. The findings of this study provide critical support for debris flow disaster prevention and mitigation efforts in the region.

       

    /

    返回文章
    返回