ISSN 1003-8035 CN 11-2852/P
    陈宾,魏娜,张联志,等. 基于斜坡单元灾害强度的滑坡灾害易损性评价−以湖南省湘乡市为例[J]. 中国地质灾害与防治学报,2024,35(2): 137-145. DOI: 10.16031/j.cnki.issn.1003-8035.202211901
    引用本文: 陈宾,魏娜,张联志,等. 基于斜坡单元灾害强度的滑坡灾害易损性评价−以湖南省湘乡市为例[J]. 中国地质灾害与防治学报,2024,35(2): 137-145. DOI: 10.16031/j.cnki.issn.1003-8035.202211901
    CHEN Bin,WEI Na,ZHANG Lianzhi,et al. Vulnerability assessment of landslide hazards based on hazard intensity at slope level: A case study in Xiangxiang County of Hunan[J]. The Chinese Journal of Geological Hazard and Control,2024,35(2): 137-145. DOI: 10.16031/j.cnki.issn.1003-8035.202211901
    Citation: CHEN Bin,WEI Na,ZHANG Lianzhi,et al. Vulnerability assessment of landslide hazards based on hazard intensity at slope level: A case study in Xiangxiang County of Hunan[J]. The Chinese Journal of Geological Hazard and Control,2024,35(2): 137-145. DOI: 10.16031/j.cnki.issn.1003-8035.202211901

    基于斜坡单元灾害强度的滑坡灾害易损性评价以湖南省湘乡市为例

    Vulnerability assessment of landslide hazards based on hazard intensity at slope level: A case study in Xiangxiang County of Hunan

    • 摘要: 以斜坡为单元,基于潜在灾害强度的区域性易损性评价是地质灾害防治亟待解决的重要问题之一。以湖南省湘乡市为研究区,在采用加权信息量方法进行易发性区划的基础上,逐个提取斜坡单元最高易发值点的高程、坡高、坡度、坡向、月平均降雨量为特征参数,分别代入BP神经网络、PSO-BP神经网络、随机森林及支持向量机模型。通过训练与精度测试对比,构建基于PSO优化BP神经网络算法的滑坡体积预测模型,建立以灾害体积为灾害强度指标,以建筑密度、人口密度、财产密度等为脆弱性指标的易损性综合评价模型。针对研究区开展基于潜在灾害强度的区域性易损性评价,完成高易损区(面积占比1.5%)、中易损区(面积占比28.5%)和低易损区(面积占比70%)的区划,实现了区域性易损性评价过程中致灾体灾害强度与承灾体脆弱性的有机结合,增强了评价的客观性和科学性。

       

      Abstract: Taking a slope as a unit, the regional vulnerability assessment based on potential disaster intensity is one of the important problems to be solved urgently. In this paper, the city of Xiangxiang in Hunan is selected as the research area. On the basis of susceptibility regionalization with the weighted information value method, the elevation, slope height, slope, slope direction and monthly average rainfall of the highest prone points of slope units are extract one by one as the characteristic parameters, which are put into the BP neural network, PSO-BP neural network, random forest and support vector machine model, respectively. A landslide volume prediction model based on BP neural network algorithm optimized by PSO is constructed through training and precision test comparison. A comprehensive vulnerability evaluation model is established with disaster volume as disaster intensity index and building density, population density and property density as vulnerability indexes. Regional vulnerability evaluation based on potential disaster intensity is carried out for the study area. The divisions of high-vulnerable areas (1.5% of the total area), medium-vulnerable areas (28.5% of the total area) and low-vulnerable areas (70% of the total area) are completed, which realize the organic combination of the disaster intensity of the disaster-causing body and the vulnerability of the disaster-bearing body in the process of regional vulnerability evaluation, and enhance the objectivity and scientific nature of the evaluation.

       

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