ISSN 1003-8035 CN 11-2852/P
    王惠卿,肖锐铧,刘艳辉,等. 近 20 年地质灾害气象风险预警研究文献图谱可视化分析[J]. 中国地质灾害与防治学报,2024,35(2): 1-11. DOI: 10.16031/j.cnki.issn.1003-8035.202401016
    引用本文: 王惠卿,肖锐铧,刘艳辉,等. 近 20 年地质灾害气象风险预警研究文献图谱可视化分析[J]. 中国地质灾害与防治学报,2024,35(2): 1-11. DOI: 10.16031/j.cnki.issn.1003-8035.202401016
    WANG Huiqing,XIAO Ruihua,LIU Yanhui,et al. Visualization analysis of research literature on early warning of geo-hazards based on meteorological factors in the past 20 years[J]. The Chinese Journal of Geological Hazard and Control,2024,35(2): 1-11. DOI: 10.16031/j.cnki.issn.1003-8035.202401016
    Citation: WANG Huiqing,XIAO Ruihua,LIU Yanhui,et al. Visualization analysis of research literature on early warning of geo-hazards based on meteorological factors in the past 20 years[J]. The Chinese Journal of Geological Hazard and Control,2024,35(2): 1-11. DOI: 10.16031/j.cnki.issn.1003-8035.202401016

    近 20 年地质灾害气象风险预警研究文献图谱可视化分析

    Visualization analysis of research literature on early warning of geo-hazards based on meteorological factors in the past 20 years

    • 摘要: 中国地质灾害气象预警始于 2003 年,每年汛期向公众社会发布预警信息,警示群众注意防范降雨引发的崩塌滑坡泥石流等地质灾害。为了更深入了解地质灾害气象风险预警研究的现状和未来趋势,以中国知网及 SCI-EXPANDED 国内外数据库作为数据来源,采用可视化工具 CiteSpace,梳理了 2003-2023 年间发表的国内外地质灾害气象风险预警文献,绘制科学知识图谱,分别从研究主题、演进趋势和研究热点进行多维度分析。结果表明:(1)基于历史降雨及灾害关系的临界降雨阈值研究在地质灾害气象风险预警研究中处于主导地位,与降雨相关阈值研究在未来仍将是研究热点;(2)关键词聚类分析显示大量文献开展了不同地质灾害形成条件、气象条件下,不同类型、成因模式的地质灾害发生的预警预报模型、临界阈值研究,表明精细化是地质灾害气象风险预警发展的重要方向;(3)在国际地质灾害气象风险预警领域研究中,中国学者发文量占总发文量的32%,我国在地质灾害气象风险预警研究中有绝对优势。研究结果较客观的展示了中国地质灾害气象风险预警研究的发展脉络和国内外研究热点及趋势,以期有助于我国地质灾害研究与预警预报业务进步。

       

      Abstract: Early warning of geo-hazards based on meteorological factors in China began in 2003, and early warning information is issued to the public every year during the flood season to alert the public to guard against geological disasters such as landslides, debris flows, and mudslides caused by rainfall. To better understand the current situation and future trends of research for early warning of geo-hazards based on meteorological factors, the visualization tool CiteSpace was utilized to review the domestic and foreign literature on geological disaster meteorological risk warning published from 2003 to 2023 and construct the scientific knowledge map. The CNKI database and SCI-Expanded databases were used as data sources. The result show that: (1) The study of critical rainfall thresholds based on the relationship between historical rainfall and disaster is in the leading position in research on early warning of geo-hazards based on meteorological factors, and the study of rainfall-related thresholds will continue to be a research hotspot in the future. (2) Keyword cluster analysis shows that a large number of studies have conducted research on early warning and prediction models and critical thresholds of geological disasters under different formation conditions, meteorological conditions, different types, and genetic models, indicating that refinement is an important direction for the development of early warning of geo-hazards based on meteorological factors. (3) In the field of international research on geological disaster meteorological risk early warning, Chinese scholars account for 32% of the total number of publications, showing an absolute advantage in research on geological disaster meteorological risk early warning. The research results objectively demonstrate the development context, domestic and foreign research hotspots, and trends of research on geological disaster meteorological risk warning in China, aiming to contribute to the progress of geological disaster research and early warning forcast business in China.

       

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